Some quick thoughts on the rapid developments at Penn State on Sunday and in anticipation of Monday's announcement of NCAA sanctions. As a starting point, I am generally agnostic both about whether the statue should have been removed and whether and how the NCAA should sanction Penn State; I see the arguments on both sides.
1) The Paterno Family objects to the removal (not surprising). Their starting argument is that the removal "does not serve the victims of Jerry Sandusky's horrible crimes or help heal the Penn State Community." No, it probably doesn't. But it also doesn't matter. There are other things that Penn State may want to achieve besides serving the victims, including making a statement against what Paterno did and disassociating the school from that.
Also ringing hollow is their insistence that we do not know the whole story or all the facts. Amid all the noise, I have never heard the family flat-out deny that JoePa knew about either the 1998 allegations or that he was told of the initial plan in 2001 to report Sandusky to authorities. Their argument, in essence, is that it is wrong to take down the statue because it unfairly singles him out, when he was not the major wrongdoer. But Paterno is being "singled out" only because he is the only one who had a statue on campus.
2) I am dubious about all the talk about the "unprecedented" nature of the expected NCAA sanctions. The program will not be suspended or given the "death penalty," but reportedly will suffer a loss of scholarships and loss of bowl opportunities. But that sounds like the typical punishment for major violations, including what USC received a few years ago. Unless the number of lost scholarships or the length of the postseason ban is so great (say, 10 scholarships a year for more than five years and a bowl ban of 5-10 years), I am not sure what is so unprecedented.
The University reportedly also will be fined between $ 30 million and $ 60 million; that could be the unprecedented part, called by one source "a fine like no fine before." But I am not sure how a big fine that targets the university and not the football program, while perhaps unprecedented, is uniquely damaging to the program, especially as compared with shutting down the program for a year. Finally, the NCAA arguably has departed both from its own procedures (no hearing, no investigation, using special processes with the express permission of the NCAA's board of directors) and its own substantive limitations (sanctioning for actions that have nothing to do with the NCAA's rules and everything to do with the university's connections to the civil and criminal justice systems). That is unprecedented. But that just may be another way of saying the NCAA is treading into dangerous waters and will be forced to present clear and forceful justifications in support of these sanctions.
A source in the stories linked above said Penn State might have preferred a flat one-year ban, suggesting the effects of the scholarship reductions, bowl ban, and fines will be felt longer. One source argued that saying this is not the death penalty is just semantics. I am hard-pressed to imagine a body of sanctions that really will make PSU folks wish the NCAA had just shut them down for a year or two. But forget the noise from pundits and sources about "never see[ing] anything like it." Consider how quickly USC bounded back from its loss-of-scholarship/bowl-ban sanction. Unless the NCAA delivers something an order of magnitude beyond that, I cannot conceive of these sanctions doing to Penn State what the death penalty did to SMU. Obviously, we will see tomorrow.
3) I heard a radio interview tonight with ESPN's Jay Bilas. He questioned whether this case means that the NCAA has to get involved in other cases of student-athlete criminal misconduct that touches back to the team, the athletic department, or the university. He uses as examples Duke lacrosse (which could be an example of lack of institutional control, although going in the other direction) or the murder of U Va women's lacrosse player Yeardley Love by men's player George Huguely. Is this a new realm for NCAA enforcement? Or is this case simply sui generis?